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Now add to this the effects of antimicrobial resistance (AMR), which is when bacteria and viruses change over time and no longer respond to medicines, making infections harder to treat and increasing the risk of disease spread, severe illness and death2.
AMR is recognised by the World Health Organisation as a global health threat1. Misuse and overuse of antibiotics (including for livestock in food supply chains) are the main drivers of AMR.
Compromising the efficiency of life saving drugs can impact public health as well as the strength of the global economy. Research has found that AMR could lead to $US100 trillion in lost global production by 20503 because of antibiotics and other antimicrobial drugs no longer treating infections in the way that they are supposed to.
At HESTA, aligned with our commitment to SDG3: Good Health and Wellbeing, we have identified AMR as a systemic risk4 that has the potential to influence the market fundamentals that drive member investment returns, including economic growth.
Hormel Foods, a company held in our International equities portfolio, is a manufacturer of processed meats based in the US. Concerns were raised with us that medically important antibiotics were routinely being used for livestock within Hormel’s supply chain to increase profit, despite the growing AMR challenge.
The World Health Organisation recommends restricted antimicrobial use5, and Hormel’s actions diverge from that recommendation.
The cost of the effects of AMR to the economy and the health system is significant6. The World Bank estimates that by 2050 AMR could result in a 3.8% loss in global GDP, an impact comparable to that of the 2008 financial crisis.7
In addition to loss of life and disability, prolonged illness results in longer hospital stays, and the need for more expensive medicines that creates financial challenges for those impacted.
In a future facing AMR worst-case scenario, its estimated that by 2050, additional healthcare expenditures could amount to $1.2 trillion globally on an annual basis.⁷
In contrast, good health and wellbeing enables economic growth by improving productivity, raising incomes and reducing economic costs due to illness8. Addressing the overuse of antibiotics now can therefore contribute to protecting and enhancing long-term portfolio value and ultimately the returns we are able to generate for our members. And it helps to address a challenge that our members face in their work.
HESTA joined the FAIRR Initiative9 in 2020. FAIRR is a collaborative network that helps investors identify and prioritise environmental, social and governance (ESG) risks in the global food sector.
In 2021, we filed a shareholder resolution calling for a study into the public health costs from the use of antibiotics in Hormel’s supply chain. The resolution raised awareness of the issue amongst shareholders and we expect to see support increase for similar resolutions as global investors recognise the impacts of systemic issues such as AMR to their investment portfolios.
1 https://www.ama.com.au/sites/default/files/2022-03/Public%20hospitals%20-%20cycle%20of%20crisis.pdf
⁴ Systemic risk are those that threaten the functioning of the economic, financial and wider systems on which investment performance relies (United Nations Environment Project Finance Initiative)
⁵ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5772708/
⁶ https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/antimicrobial-resistance
⁷ https://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/323311493396993758/pdf/final-report.pdf
⁸ http://www1.worldbank.org/publicsector/pe/pfma06/financedevelopmentbloom.pdf
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